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Chen Zhongwei: we predict that the sales of new energy vehicles will account for 40% in 40 years

Scan the QR code with wechat < / P > < p > and share it with friends and circles of friends < / P > < p > in fact, looking back on the world energy revolution and industrial revolution, the electrification of cars is the general trend. In addition, electric vehicles will make a significant contribution to improving the global environmental ecology. Reviewing the history of electric vehicles, the market scale of new energy vehicles is developing rapidly at this stage. Taking Tesla as an example, its development trajectory and market value growth are the perfect epitome of the vigorous development of electric vehicles. On the other hand, hydrogen fuel cell has also become another hot spot. For example, Nikola has been hot in recent years, and it has not been officially mass produced, but it can reflect the strong expectation of the market for hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles < p > the following is the transcript of Chen Zhongwei's speech: < / P > < p > today, I will discuss the future of new energy vehicles with you. Battery and fuel cell, I have been engaged in electrochemical energy for the past 20 years. For ordinary people, there is a difference between why the battery should put a fuel cell. I hope to discuss this topic with you based on my 20 years of experience. I hope you can have a deep understanding through this discussion < p > the previous guests have shared the important mission of carbon peak carbon neutralization. In fact, in the context of carbon peak carbon neutralization, the three countries and regions on the PPT, China, the United States and the European Union, are the three countries and regions with major human emissions. China's carbon emissions will reach the peak in 2030 and achieve carbon neutralization in 60 years. The United States will halve carbon dioxide in 2030 and the European Union will reduce carbon dioxide by 55% in 2030. After these three countries and regions make commitments, it means that the whole carbon dioxide emission reduction has entered a substantive stage < p > to achieve carbon dioxide emission reduction, Chinese leaders also put forward a clear goal, including the transformation of "three ways" proposed at the 19th National Congress. The second way is the transformation of the energy system. The utilization of the whole new energy has entered a new stage. To promote the development of new energy sources, it is very important to develop new tram technology < p > from history to now, mankind has had two energy revolutions. The first energy revolution is the transformation from wood to coal. The first energy revolution is accompanied by the wide application of steam engine, which is reflected in trains on means of transportation. The first energy revolution was very interesting. It was also accompanied by the revolution of the whole industrial system, including the steel industry and various industries, and the process of Britain surpassing the Netherlands; The second energy revolution shifted from coal to oil and gas. The medium was internal combustion engine. The application of internal combustion engine was accompanied by revolutionary changes in the automotive industry. The second energy revolution also accompanied the United States to surpass Britain and become the world's first power; With the promotion of the double carbon goal, the new energy revolution has begun. The third energy revolution is the new energy revolution. The new energy revolution means the use of electricity and hydrogen energy. The application of electricity and hydrogen energy is accompanied by the application of battery and fuel cell, which is reflected in electric vehicles. With the new energy revolution, the industrial revolution has begun in the new energy automobile industry < p > many countries and regions have put forward very clear goals for the development of electric vehicles. The EU proposes to reduce the emission of new energy vehicles to zero in 2035, which means that the EU's internal combustion engine will withdraw from the market after 2035; China can predict that new energy vehicles will dominate the domestic market by 2030. For example, China's new energy vehicles have exceeded 3 million this year, which is a very important milestone from quantitative change to qualitative change. It is estimated that there will be more growth next year < p > the United States plans that 40% of the car sales will be electric vehicles in 2030, and Canada plans to achieve zero emission of hydrogen vehicles and withdraw internal combustion engine vehicles from the market in 2035, which is a big global background < p > in the global context, the application of electric vehicles is closely related to carbon dioxide emission reduction or pollutant emission reduction. If we still use traditional internal combustion engines, if we use traditional fossil fuels, the amount of carbon dioxide has been increasing. If we use electric vehicles and electricity generated by new energy, we can reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 60%. If we use hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, Hydrogen energy is also generated from new energy, and the emission reduction of carbon dioxide will be reduced by 80%, which is a great contribution < p > in fact, the development process of electric vehicles is relatively simple. Electric vehicles appeared in 1899. At that time, electric vehicles were experimental and not really commercialized, but their performance was good at that time. Due to the rapid development of internal combustion engines, because the performance indicators were far behind the internal combustion engines, they were eliminated by the market. The battery technology of electric vehicles has returned to the automobile market. Since 1997, Toyota's hybrid adopted a small battery. At this time, the concept of small electric vehicles has come back. The return of electric vehicles in the commercial sense to the market is Tesla's roadster in 2008, the first generation of real commercial electric vehicles, hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. In the commercial sense, it is Toyota Mirai in 2014. Mirai means the future, which is hydrogen fuel cell vehicles < p > let's take a look at the whole automobile market. In the past few years, the global automobile sales have been basically stable, stable at about 78 million. In 2020, due to the impact of the epidemic, the sales have decreased, but the whole market is still relatively stable. When the automobile market is relatively stable, let's take a look at the figure on the right, the growth of the whole electric vehicle sales, Since ten years ago, this sales volume was basically ignored ten years ago. In the past ten years, there has been an annual growth of dozens of percent or even doubled. In 2020, electric vehicles accounted for 4.2% of the automobile sales market, and the whole scale is very huge. This year, the market scale has been further expanded < p > according to our prediction, by 2060, 40 years later, the sales of new energy vehicles will basically account for more than 80% of the automobile market, and the traditional internal combustion engine automobile industry will gradually withdraw from the historical stage < p > the development of electric vehicles is very interesting from Tesla's stock market. In November this year, the market value reached US $1.1 trillion. Toyota represents a traditional automobile manufacturer. It used to be the traditional automobile enterprise with the highest market value, with a market value of US $260 billion this year. Now Tesla's market value is more than four times that of Toyota. In 2019, Toyota sold more than 10 million vehicles, and Tesla sold less than 400000 vehicles in 2019. The market value is completely reversed with the automobile production capacity, This means that all investors and consumers recognize the future development prospects of new energy vehicles represented by Tesla < p > we can take a look at the development of Tesla. A very young company was established in 2003 and musk joined in 2004. The original founder ?
2023-03-22 10:04:48

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